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Doctrix Periwinkle's avatar

Hi, Javiero. Interesting analysis.

I'm not sure about the supply-side argument for more people called to be priests = more religious people, just because priests don't always (or typically) come from the local community. There were probably more home-grown priests in the past (i.e., in the 1950s), but certainly there were lots of transplant priests then, too. I mean, the whole premise of the Jesuits is that they should be sent hither and yon to found churches and schools.

For instance, I live on the Caribbean island of Saba, and our priest is from Poland. The priest before him was from the Philippines. Oh, by the way, Saba currently has a population of 2035, of which 50% are Catholic. So we've got one priest per about 1018 Catholics.

Living on Saba as I do, I wanted to see what Catholic-Hierarchy.org had to say about priests in the Dutch Caribbean. Alas, this is not possible, since this website clusters a ton of very disparate islands, from the Bahamas to the Virgins, as "antilles," of which the Dutch Caribbean (n.b., "Netherlands Antilles" is a defunct category, having been dissolved in 2010) is one part. So I did my own investigating.

The most recent photo showing all the priests in the Diocese of Willemstad, the diocese that includes all the Dutch islands of Aruba, Bonaire, Curacao, Saba, St. Eustatius, and St. Maarten is from 2016, and shows 38 priests (see here: https://diocesewillemstad.com/priest/ )

In 2016, there were on each island (see here for data on BES islands: https://www.cbs.nl/en-gb/publication/2016/44/trends-in-the-caribbean-netherlands-2016):

Aruba: 105,000 people, 75% Catholic = 78750 Catholics

Bonaire: 19400 people, 68% Catholic = 13192 Catholics

Curacao: 160,000 people, 73% Catholic = 116,800 Catholics

Saba: 1900 people, 42% Catholic (yes, the population of Catholics on Saba has increased in recent years) = 798 Catholics

St. Eustatius: 3200 people, 24% Catholic = 768 Catholics

St. Maarten: 39,000 people, 33% Catholics = 12,870 Catholics

In 2016, therefore, we have a total of 223,178 Catholics and 38 priests, for a parishioner-to-priest ratio of 5873:1--not the lowest ratio, but not the highest. If there were a pixel for the tiny island of Saba on your map, it would be the darkest of dark blue, though.

I think this is interesting, because, per your Canaries hypothesis, the Dutch Caribbean's colonizing country, the Netherlands, is one of the least religious countries ever--both now, and at the time of conquest. And insofar as the Netherlands is religious, the official religion is Dutch protestant. In 2017, 51% of the Dutch were not religious. About 15% of the total population is some variety of Dutch protestant, and 24% is Catholic. (Data here: https://www.cbs.nl/en-gb/news/2018/43/over-half-of-the-dutch-population-are-not-religious) So, for the Caribbean Netherlands, it's not like the colonizing country is a Catholic powerhouse.

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Luis Aldamiz's avatar

Your CCP ratio interpretation is radically WRONG. Northern Spain and very especially the Basque Country and Catalonia are extremely atheist/agnostic areas, probably even more than France. I'm Basque an most people is totally non-religious or even strongly anti-religious over here (and I know for a fact that only Catalans are in the same anti-religion page as we are in all the State of Spain). Andalusians on the contrary are famous for being hyper-religious and going totally nuts about Easter processions, for example.

The CCP ratio may have various interpretations but the most obvious one is that every parish gets one priest (maybe more but at least one) no matter how many Christians there are left, so higher CCP ratio surely tends to represent greater religiosity, not less.

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